Ahead of the Gujarat polls, a survey was conducted to see the estimated number of seats won by the BJP and the Congress.
The survey conducted by the ABP-CSDS predicted that the BJP will win 113-121 seats, while the Opposition will get 58-64 seats.
The pre-election poll showed the BJP ahead of the Congress by 30% in terms of the people’s voting preference.
However, according to the second round of the poll conducted in the last week of October, BJP’s seat share is expected to decline sharply from the prediction made in August.
The second poll was conducted by the ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS said that BJP would secure 47 per cent of the votes, down from 59 per cent in August, and the Congress would getting 41 per cent votes, a gain of 12 per cent. the survey also revealed that the Congress has revived in Saurashtra-Kutch and North Gujarat.
In Saurashtra, the Congress and the BJP were found to be neck and neck at 42 per cent votes each and in North Gujarat, the Congress was ahead of the BJP by 7 per cent. Both these regions together account for 107 seats, which is well over half the seats in the 182-member Gujarat assembly.
Congress seems to be in trouble in its traditional stronghold of Central Gujarat. The poll found the party to be trailing the BJP in this region by 16 per cent. South Gujarat too seems to be swinging the BJP way for now. The survey found the BJP to be securing 51 per cent of the votes here compared to the Congress’s 33 per cent.
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